function par=beta_sel(r,rplus) % % BETA_SEL Selecting a beta prior using predictive statements. % PAR=BETA_SEL(R,RPLUS) returns parameters of a beta distribution, where % R is the probability of a future success and RPLUS is the probability % of a second future success conditional on a first success. a=r*(1-rplus)/(rplus-r); b=(1-r)*(1-rplus)/(rplus-r); par=[a b];