AN INTRODUCTION TO PROBABILITY

1. What is a probability?

   • the relative frequency view

   • the subjective view

2. Measuring probabilities by means of a calibration experiment

3. Interpreting odds

4. Listing all possible outcomes (the sample space)

5. Basic probability rules

6. Equally likely outcomes

7. Constructing a probability table by listing outcomes.

8. Constructing a probability table by simulation

9. Probabilities of "or" and "not" events.

10. An average value of a probability distribution

11. Understanding a two-way table of probabilities

PROBABILITY ACTIVITIES